Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.997856 4.766670 5.622943 6.644341 7.826390 9.148091 10.734456
2025-08-24 2.893833 3.879331 5.090580 6.676417 8.684054 11.125978 14.303948
2025-08-31 2.221299 3.285227 4.703860 6.706549 9.428602 12.962703 17.854299
2025-09-07 1.740460 2.807311 4.334565 6.634238 9.952375 14.499231 21.116671
2025-09-14 1.337229 2.340030 3.873515 6.322773 10.051881 15.412396 23.564887
2025-09-21 1.100326 2.071361 3.645756 6.293294 10.515407 16.836950 26.813882
2025-09-28 0.916358 1.848271 3.444254 6.258826 10.940957 18.213618 30.078022
2025-10-05 0.839224 1.795057 3.509345 6.654814 12.072855 20.744983 35.277155
2025-10-12 0.745254 1.690594 3.465591 6.851831 12.885670 22.827232 39.920544
2025-10-19 0.677115 1.622542 3.474546 7.135936 13.863701 25.241264 45.258509
2025-10-26 0.587391 1.491418 3.342719 7.140641 14.343383 26.852532 49.379879
2025-11-02 0.487416 1.316603 3.096460 6.892314 14.331622 27.611047 52.104147
2025-11-09 0.402969 1.160792 2.868192 6.656320 14.330730 28.411281 55.006909
2025-11-16 0.349915 1.069044 2.761990 6.653660 14.773750 30.037648 59.476287
2025-11-23 0.306155 0.990827 2.672839 6.673525 15.259140 31.773086 64.254937
2025-11-30 0.263117 0.903922 2.548594 6.598585 15.540159 33.139345 68.441083
2025-12-07 0.214521 0.788085 2.333626 6.287781 15.292537 33.464241 70.693353
2025-12-14 0.186712 0.727050 2.245312 6.258206 15.639112 34.970774 75.281689
2025-12-21 0.162594 0.671052 2.160187 6.223838 15.968690 36.461901 79.928011
2025-12-28 0.157265 0.676754 2.243813 6.617854 17.296761 40.075295 88.964738
2026-01-04 0.145225 0.655893 2.249514 6.813899 18.186523 42.836936 96.454962
2026-01-11 0.136919 0.646523 2.286926 7.096615 19.302577 46.143412 105.228273
2026-01-18 0.121427 0.605404 2.222985 7.101296 19.756436 48.066852 111.277380